EU PVSEC Programme Online
EU PVSEC 2021, 6 - 10 September 2021
Presentation: 7DO.12.2 Potential BIPV Market in Key European Countries by 2030
Type: Oral
Date: Thursday, 9th September 2021
10:30 - 12:00
Author(s): E. Bosch, P. Macé, A. van Rechem
Presenter / Speaker: E. Bosch, Becquerel Institute, Brussels, Belgium
Event: Conference Conference
Session: 7DO.12 PV Business Opportunities Today and Tomorrow
Topic: 7. 1 Costs, Economics, Finance and Markets
Keywords: Building Integrated Photovoltaic (BIPV), Markets, Renovation Wave
Summary / Abstract: Perspectives for BIPV market development have always been a topic of interest within the PV sector as it has often been considered as a potential growth path for PV, but this never materialized to significative deployment. The innovative methodology presented here aims at estimating a realistic market potential for BIPV by 2030, by using a two-sided and a back-casting approach for eight key European solar markets, taking into account the characteristics of their building stock. In particular, renovation rates are key inputs as they are used to define the two considered scenarios (a high scenario falling within the Renovation Wave Strategy and a Business-as-Usual scenario). Eventually, the cumulative BIPV capacity projected to be installed in the eight key European countries over the next decade could amount to 7,4 GWp to 9,5 GWp with most of the capacity being installed on residential buildings’ roofs. Then, not only will a doubling of current renovation rates have clear benefits in terms of primary energy consumption reduction for the building sector, it can also be an important driver of the BIPV market representing an additional 2 GWp opportunity compared to the Business as Usual scenario.